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AI in 2040: Experts’ Predictions Scare Me. #ArtificialIntelligence

Experts' Predictions Of AI In 2040 Scare Me. | by Adrian Virani | Write A Catalyst | Feb, 2024

AI experts in the United Kingdom have used the Delphi method to predict advancements in AI over the next 20 years. The Delphi method, named after the ancient Oracle of Delphi, involves iterative rounds of interviews to gather expert insights. The study, conducted by the RAND corporation, has identified five key areas of concern for the future of AI.

One of the key predictions from the study is the potential for AI safety to be jeopardized by geopolitical rivalry between nations, particularly the United States and China. The experts also expressed concerns about the possibility of AI-related incidents causing a large number of deaths, known as “megadeath.”

The study also highlights the potential for AI to deliberately cause a massive loss of life through scenarios such as AI-powered weaponry and the failure of critical infrastructures like nuclear power.

Overall, the study provides valuable insights into the future of AI and the potential risks associated with its development and use. It underscores the importance of addressing these concerns to ensure the safe and responsible advancement of AI technology.

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Source link: https://medium.com/write-a-catalyst/experts-predictions-of-ai-in-2040-scare-me-a1c05b2d33bb?source=rss——artificial_intelligence-5

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